Aggressive
Growth System Objective:
To
generate higher returns with lower risk than buying and holding an
S&P
500 Index fund.
Strategy:
The
Aggressive Growth System’s strategy is to be invested when
the market is rising and either in a money market account or
in a reverse stock fund when the market is falling.
How the system works:
The core of the system is our market timing model. When
the market timing model generates a “Buy” signal, client accounts
will be invested in one or more of Rydex’s Dynamic funds including:
- Titan
whose objective is to produce 200% of the S&P500’s
daily returns;
- Velocity
whose objective is to produce 200% of the Nasdaq 100’s daily
returns.
Monitoring:
During
a “Buy” signal, all the funds in which we’ve invested
are monitored on a daily basis. If at any time any of the funds
declines by a pre-determined percentage (usually around 14-16%)
that fund will be sold and the proceeds moved to the money market
fund. This “stop loss” system helps us either lock in profits
or minimize losses.
When the
market timing model generates a “Sell” signal, any
funds that haven’t been sold by the stop loss system will be
moved to a money market fund to await the next “Buy” signal. If
market conditions warrant, “reverse” funds which appreciate during
market declines may be purchased.
Other Considerations:
When
it is fully invested the system will hold two to four funds
at
a time. In the past, there have been 2-3 switches (round
trips) from the market timing model each year. Implementation
of the system requires that an investor be prepared to make between
four and twelve trades annually. This means that in non-tax
advantaged accounts, all gains will be taxed as current income. There
are no switching costs when the program is implemented directly
with Rydex.
|
Average
Annual Total Return
|
|
Through 2002
|
Aggressive Growth System1
|
S&P 5002
|
Nasdaq 1002
|
|
One Year
|
-7.4%
|
-22.1%
|
-37.5%
|
|
Three Years
|
-3.5%
|
-14.5%
|
-35.7%
|
|
Five Years
|
na
|
-0.6%
|
-0.1%
|
|
Inception (6/1/98)
|
16.6%
|
-3.3%
|
-4.0%
|
|
Risk
/ Reward Statistics Since Inception
|
|
Through 2002
|
Aggressive Growth System1
|
S&P 5002
|
Nasdaq 1002
|
|
Return
|
16.6%
|
-3.3%
|
-4.0%
|
|
Maximum Drawdown
|
15.6%
|
-46.3%
|
-82.6%
|
|
Ulcer Index
|
5.9%
|
-19.1%
|
-45.0%
|
|
Risk Adjusted Return
|
1.9%
|
-0.1%
|
-0.1%
|
|
Trades per Year
|
≈8
|
na
|
na
|

All tables, text and images displayed herein
is Copyright (1995-2003) by:
Windsor Financial Advisors, Inc.
P.O. Box 7936
Princeton, NJ 08543
(609) 720-0999
Member of windsornet |